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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+8.65vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+6.88vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.39+4.40vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.75+6.14vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.62+5.74vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61+4.95vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37+0.62vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.25-0.38vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.06-0.49vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.17+2.91vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-0.94vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71-1.41vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.49-1.27vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-3.78vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.09-1.84vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.28-3.74vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-8.69vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.38-1.94vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University1.93-5.17vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-10.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.65Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.88Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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7.4Yale University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.14Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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10.74Dartmouth College2.620.0%1st Place
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10.95Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.62College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.62U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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8.51Boston University3.060.1%1st Place
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12.91Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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10.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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10.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.0%1st Place
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11.73Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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10.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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13.16University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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12.26University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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16.06Salve Regina University1.380.0%1st Place
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13.83Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Luke Arnone | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Matt Safford | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Noah Simmons | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Connor Bayless | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sam Morrell | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% |
| Stephen Duncan | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Charles Carraway | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| David Eastwood | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 10.2% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Anthony Root | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 36.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 14.1% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.