Race 1A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Marco Welch 12.3% 13.4% 13.2% 13.9% 15.7% 13.6% 9.7% 6.2% 2.1%
Gavin Monaghan 18.6% 17.4% 14.9% 14.3% 12.8% 9.9% 6.7% 4.4% 0.9%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 23.9% 19.2% 16.3% 15.1% 10.8% 7.8% 4.5% 1.9% 0.4%
Carter Anderson 15.4% 14.0% 14.4% 14.9% 12.6% 10.9% 9.7% 6.2% 1.9%
Luke Kenahan 9.1% 9.9% 11.4% 11.7% 12.4% 13.8% 14.8% 10.3% 6.7%
Wilfred Hynes 2.4% 3.5% 3.5% 4.0% 5.5% 8.2% 11.2% 20.2% 41.6%
Walter Chiles 8.8% 10.3% 12.7% 11.4% 12.6% 13.7% 14.1% 10.8% 5.5%
Mikhail Lavrenov 6.4% 8.0% 8.7% 9.0% 10.9% 12.3% 15.6% 17.2% 11.8%
Amanda Yolles 2.9% 4.2% 5.0% 5.6% 6.9% 9.9% 13.9% 22.8% 28.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.