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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland0.45+0.91vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.33+0.74vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-2.19+2.24vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.86-0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-2.52+0.69vs Predicted
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6St. John's College-1.11-2.22vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-2.25-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91University of Maryland0.450.5%1st Place
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2.74Princeton University-0.330.2%1st Place
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5.24Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
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3.42University of Delaware-0.860.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Pittsburgh-2.520.0%1st Place
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3.78St. John's College-1.110.1%1st Place
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5.23Syracuse University-2.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Safieh | 48.1% | 26.4% | 16.0% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Liliana Taub | 19.4% | 29.7% | 23.8% | 16.1% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Erica Stone | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 20.9% | 24.8% | 27.5% |
| Brianna Dittenhofer | 13.0% | 16.9% | 21.7% | 22.6% | 16.8% | 7.6% | 1.4% |
| Stephen Turocy | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 16.6% | 24.6% | 40.2% |
| John Monday | 10.0% | 12.9% | 21.1% | 21.8% | 17.6% | 12.4% | 4.2% |
| Anne Caldwell | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 26.7% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.