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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.67+5.72vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.80+1.27vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03+2.08vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.36+1.71vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.50-0.92vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.36-1.59vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.56-3.33vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College0.03-3.11vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-1.10-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Bates College-0.674.7%1st Place
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3.27University of Vermont0.8021.8%1st Place
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5.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.039.2%1st Place
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5.71McGill University-0.366.5%1st Place
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4.08Northeastern University0.5014.4%1st Place
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4.41University of Vermont0.3612.4%1st Place
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3.67Boston University0.5618.1%1st Place
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4.89Middlebury College0.039.8%1st Place
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7.18Bentley University-1.103.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Yolles | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 21.9% | 28.2% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 21.8% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Luke Kenahan | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 6.9% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 11.8% |
| Carter Anderson | 14.4% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Marco Welch | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 2.8% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 18.1% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Walter Chiles | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 4.4% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 18.1% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.