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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland1.00+0.41vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-1.12+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-0.82+0.05vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College-2.48+1.57vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-3.16+1.54vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-3.00+0.25vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.93-2.25vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-2.14-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.41University of Maryland1.000.7%1st Place
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3.48Princeton University-1.120.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Delaware-0.820.1%1st Place
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5.57Ocean County College-2.480.0%1st Place
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6.54Penn State University-3.160.0%1st Place
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6.25University of Pittsburgh-3.000.0%1st Place
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4.75Syracuse University-1.930.0%1st Place
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4.94Drexel University-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Bisson | 69.8% | 21.1% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Cowen-Breen | 8.0% | 20.9% | 25.7% | 19.8% | 14.7% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 12.0% | 27.7% | 27.0% | 17.8% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Robert Chapman | 1.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 20.9% | 16.1% |
| Jessica Traub | 0.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 25.3% | 38.2% |
| Warren Adams | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 21.9% | 32.5% |
| Erin Splaine | 4.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 18.3% | 18.9% | 13.4% | 5.6% |
| Tyler Kaplan | 2.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 20.3% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.