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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-1.12+1.73vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College-2.48+3.09vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-2.41+1.93vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-1.10-1.30vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-3.16+1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-3.00-0.11vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-2.14-2.51vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-1.93-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Princeton University-1.120.3%1st Place
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5.09Ocean County College-2.480.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Delaware-2.410.1%1st Place
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2.7University of Maryland-1.100.3%1st Place
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6.21Penn State University-3.160.0%1st Place
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5.89University of Pittsburgh-3.000.0%1st Place
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4.49Drexel University-2.140.1%1st Place
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3.97Syracuse University-1.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Cowen-Breen | 26.9% | 24.5% | 21.8% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Robert Chapman | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 12.9% |
| Claire Bullard | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 10.7% |
| Charles Cannon | 27.2% | 25.3% | 19.2% | 14.3% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jessica Traub | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 21.9% | 35.3% |
| Warren Adams | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 20.2% | 29.3% |
| Tyler Kaplan | 10.5% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 7.7% |
| Erin Splaine | 12.5% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.