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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-1.12+1.68vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-2.14+2.47vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-1.10-0.31vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-3.16+2.19vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College-2.48+0.10vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.41-1.09vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.93-2.89vs Predicted
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8University of Pittsburgh-3.00-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Princeton University-1.120.3%1st Place
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4.47Drexel University-2.140.1%1st Place
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2.69University of Maryland-1.100.3%1st Place
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6.19Penn State University-3.160.0%1st Place
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5.1Ocean County College-2.480.1%1st Place
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4.91University of Delaware-2.410.1%1st Place
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4.11Syracuse University-1.930.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Pittsburgh-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Cowen-Breen | 28.7% | 26.8% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Kaplan | 9.0% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 6.1% |
| Charles Cannon | 28.6% | 24.2% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Jessica Traub | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 20.6% | 36.0% |
| Robert Chapman | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 13.4% |
| Claire Bullard | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 12.7% |
| Erin Splaine | 11.8% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 4.7% |
| Warren Adams | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 21.6% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.