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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-1.10+0.80vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-3.16+2.04vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.93-0.41vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-2.27-0.99vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-3.00-1.02vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-4.81-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8University of Maryland-1.100.5%1st Place
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4.04Penn State University-3.160.1%1st Place
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2.59Syracuse University-1.930.2%1st Place
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3.01Princeton University-2.270.2%1st Place
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3.98University of Pittsburgh-3.000.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Delaware-4.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Cannon | 50.0% | 29.8% | 12.9% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jessica Traub | 5.3% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 23.1% | 35.1% | 10.6% |
| Erin Splaine | 22.0% | 27.9% | 26.7% | 16.3% | 6.3% | 0.8% |
| Edward Bless | 16.2% | 18.7% | 27.6% | 24.4% | 12.0% | 1.1% |
| Warren Adams | 5.7% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 24.5% | 32.9% | 10.1% |
| Elizabeth Barile | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 6.1% | 12.3% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.