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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-1.10+0.80vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-2.27+0.99vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.93-0.40vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-3.00-0.13vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-3.16-0.86vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-4.81-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8University of Maryland-1.100.5%1st Place
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2.99Princeton University-2.270.2%1st Place
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2.6Syracuse University-1.930.2%1st Place
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3.87University of Pittsburgh-3.000.1%1st Place
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4.14Penn State University-3.160.0%1st Place
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5.6University of Delaware-4.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Cannon | 49.9% | 29.0% | 13.9% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Edward Bless | 15.9% | 22.7% | 24.3% | 22.1% | 13.5% | 1.5% |
| Erin Splaine | 21.5% | 27.7% | 26.6% | 18.3% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Warren Adams | 7.5% | 9.3% | 18.7% | 25.2% | 32.1% | 7.2% |
| Jessica Traub | 4.5% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 23.8% | 35.9% | 12.4% |
| Elizabeth Barile | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 12.2% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.