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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland-1.10+1.28vs Predicted
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2St. John's College-1.90+1.39vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-1.93+0.51vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-3.16+1.46vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-2.41-0.70vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-2.27-1.98vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-3.00-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28University of Maryland-1.100.4%1st Place
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3.39St. John's College-1.900.2%1st Place
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3.51Syracuse University-1.930.1%1st Place
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5.46Penn State University-3.160.0%1st Place
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4.3University of Delaware-2.410.1%1st Place
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4.02Princeton University-2.270.1%1st Place
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5.03University of Pittsburgh-3.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Cannon | 39.5% | 24.0% | 17.5% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 15.9% | 19.2% | 18.1% | 19.9% | 14.2% | 8.7% | 4.0% |
| Erin Splaine | 14.8% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 9.6% | 5.7% |
| Jessica Traub | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 21.3% | 39.4% |
| Claire Bullard | 8.3% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 12.0% |
| Edward Bless | 11.5% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 9.6% |
| Warren Adams | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 23.1% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.