Race 3A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Marco Welch 13.7% 13.9% 13.1% 13.0% 13.3% 13.6% 10.9% 6.7% 1.9%
Gavin Monaghan 18.9% 17.4% 16.4% 13.2% 13.5% 8.9% 6.7% 3.9% 1.1%
Luke Kenahan 8.8% 9.6% 11.1% 12.4% 13.5% 13.8% 14.1% 11.6% 5.1%
Carter Anderson 14.6% 14.6% 15.2% 14.5% 12.0% 10.7% 10.3% 6.0% 2.0%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 21.7% 20.1% 16.8% 15.6% 10.4% 8.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.5%
Amanda Yolles 3.0% 3.5% 5.5% 5.5% 7.2% 10.3% 13.9% 21.6% 29.3%
Walter Chiles 9.2% 10.4% 10.8% 12.1% 13.2% 13.8% 14.5% 11.4% 4.7%
Mikhail Lavrenov 7.2% 7.2% 7.8% 9.8% 10.9% 12.8% 14.1% 17.5% 12.6%
Wilfred Hynes 2.8% 3.2% 3.2% 4.0% 5.9% 7.8% 11.2% 19.1% 42.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.