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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.12+6.30vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.82+6.56vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.80+5.64vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.59+1.35vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+6.04vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.16+5.15vs Predicted
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7Clemson University2.14+4.14vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.93-0.21vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.93-1.18vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.90-1.71vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+0.30vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.33-1.25vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.31-2.73vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.42-8.22vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.71-6.31vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.57-6.59vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-3.77vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.17-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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8.56Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.64University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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5.35Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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11.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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11.15Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.14Clemson University2.140.0%1st Place
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7.79Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.29Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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10.75Roger Williams University2.330.0%1st Place
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10.27Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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5.78Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.69Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.41Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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13.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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14.48North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph LaForgia | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Harden | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% |
| TJ Danilek | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% |
| Colin Brego | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 7.4% |
| John Walton | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.3% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Alex Abate | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 19.4% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.