← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.42+5.25vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.93+6.06vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University2.16+8.36vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College2.82+4.28vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania3.12+2.06vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+7.06vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University3.59-1.60vs Predicted
-
8Yale University2.90-0.05vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.93-1.25vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.71-1.02vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.80-2.44vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.31-1.16vs Predicted
-
13Clemson University2.14-1.96vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-3.16vs Predicted
-
15North Carolina State University1.17-0.36vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-4.69vs Predicted
-
17Boston University2.57-7.50vs Predicted
-
18Roger Williams University2.33-7.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.25Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.06Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
-
11.36Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
-
8.28Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.06University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
-
13.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
-
5.4Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
-
7.95Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.75University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
-
8.98Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
-
8.56University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
-
10.84Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
-
11.04Clemson University2.140.0%1st Place
-
10.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
-
14.64North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
-
11.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
-
9.5Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
-
10.14Roger Williams University2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Colin Brego | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 5.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Alex Abate | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 18.5% |
| Jack Parkin | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Harden | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% |
| TJ Danilek | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.2% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 36.6% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| John Walton | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.