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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+5.20vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.16+9.36vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.57+6.64vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+7.07vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.93+2.82vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.59-0.60vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.12+0.13vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+4.94vs Predicted
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9Clemson University2.14+2.10vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.80-1.31vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.71-2.15vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.82-3.28vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.93-5.26vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.33-3.97vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.31-4.60vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.90-7.95vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-5.66vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.17-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.36Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.64Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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11.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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7.82Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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5.4Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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7.13University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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12.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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11.1Clemson University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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8.85Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.72Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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10.03Roger Williams University2.330.0%1st Place
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10.4Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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8.05Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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14.51North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 6.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% |
| Colin Brego | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Jack Parkin | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Alex Abate | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 19.0% |
| TJ Danilek | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.1% |
| Thomas Harden | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| John Walton | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Kyle Riggs | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 7.1% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.