← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.90+7.26vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.42+4.14vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University2.16+8.34vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.57+5.30vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University2.31+5.34vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.59-0.59vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+4.16vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.71+0.68vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.33+1.40vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College2.82-1.36vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.93-2.98vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.80-3.21vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-0.12vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-3.07vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania3.12-7.96vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island2.93-8.07vs Predicted
-
17Clemson University2.14-5.72vs Predicted
-
18North Carolina State University1.17-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.26Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
-
6.14Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
11.34Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
-
9.3Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
-
10.34Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
-
5.41Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
-
11.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
-
8.68Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
-
10.4Roger Williams University2.330.0%1st Place
-
8.64Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
8.02Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
-
8.79University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
-
12.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
-
10.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
-
7.04University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
-
7.93University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
-
11.28Clemson University2.140.0%1st Place
-
14.47North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Marwell | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Kyle Riggs | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
| Jack Parkin | 12.9% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| John Walton | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Colin Brego | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Harden | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Alex Abate | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 17.8% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Luke Ingalls | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| TJ Danilek | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% |
| Harrison Bailey | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.