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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+4.61vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.12+5.31vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.82+5.60vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.80+4.31vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.16+5.95vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+5.28vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.93+0.82vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.42-2.08vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.57+0.38vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93-1.87vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.71-2.05vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.33-1.32vs Predicted
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13Clemson University2.14-2.04vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-1.24vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.90-7.07vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-4.70vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.31-6.37vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.17-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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7.31University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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8.6Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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10.95Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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7.82Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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5.92Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.38Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.68Roger Williams University2.330.0%1st Place
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10.96Clemson University2.140.0%1st Place
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12.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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7.93Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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10.63Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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14.48North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 12.8% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.7% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% |
| Colin Brego | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| John Walton | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
| TJ Danilek | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% |
| Alex Abate | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 16.5% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Richie Gordon | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.