Race 4A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Carter Anderson 14.1% 13.9% 14.9% 15.4% 13.1% 11.0% 10.1% 5.1% 2.3%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 22.4% 18.9% 17.1% 14.5% 11.1% 7.9% 5.0% 2.6% 0.5%
Marco Welch 12.7% 12.3% 13.4% 14.2% 14.1% 12.8% 10.3% 7.3% 2.7%
Gavin Monaghan 18.1% 16.6% 16.7% 14.3% 13.2% 10.7% 6.2% 3.2% 1.0%
Luke Kenahan 8.7% 11.8% 10.4% 10.3% 11.7% 14.0% 15.0% 11.8% 6.2%
Walter Chiles 10.3% 10.7% 10.8% 12.2% 12.7% 14.0% 13.1% 11.9% 4.3%
Amanda Yolles 4.0% 4.7% 4.9% 6.2% 6.9% 9.6% 14.1% 22.3% 27.4%
Mikhail Lavrenov 6.6% 7.0% 8.7% 8.5% 11.3% 12.6% 14.9% 17.2% 13.1%
Wilfred Hynes 2.9% 4.2% 3.1% 4.2% 5.9% 7.5% 11.2% 18.4% 42.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.