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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+4.63vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.82+6.56vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.80+5.66vs Predicted
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4Clemson University2.14+7.01vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.90+2.96vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.93+1.89vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.71+1.78vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.93-0.24vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+2.17vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57-0.37vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.12-3.77vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.31-1.19vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-0.16vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.42-8.21vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-3.81vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.33-5.61vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.16-5.78vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.17-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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8.56Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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11.01Clemson University2.140.0%1st Place
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7.96Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.89Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.0%1st Place
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9.63Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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10.81Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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12.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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5.79Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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10.39Roger Williams University2.330.0%1st Place
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11.22Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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14.46North Carolina State University1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| TJ Danilek | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Colin Brego | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Luke Ingalls | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Richie Gordon | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% |
| Alex Abate | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 17.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% |
| John Walton | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% |
| Harrison Bailey | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.