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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+7.88vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+6.64vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+1.95vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.50+4.05vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.83+1.92vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.50+2.15vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.07-0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.03+1.95vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.11+4.35vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+1.24vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.36-2.16vs Predicted
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12Clemson University1.36+0.84vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.65-5.60vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.47-6.02vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.45-6.68vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.02-5.83vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-0.35-0.24vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-5.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.0%1st Place
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4.95Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.05Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.92Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.15Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.01Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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9.95University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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13.35University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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11.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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8.84Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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12.84Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
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7.4Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.98Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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8.32Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.17Boston University2.020.0%1st Place
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16.76North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
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12.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.4% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Weed | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.6% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 20.4% | 8.8% |
| Luke Welker | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 3.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Robert Gruskos | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 7.7% |
| Ian Moran | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Victoria Newberry | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 12.3% | 69.2% |
| Meredith Julian | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.