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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.47+7.52vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.83+5.02vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.50+5.33vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+4.24vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.43-0.19vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.070.00vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.50+1.16vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.45+0.24vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.02+1.02vs Predicted
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10Clemson University1.36+2.72vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+0.06vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-2.97vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.65-5.59vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.03-4.30vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.36-6.40vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.11-2.58vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-4.15vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University-0.66-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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7.02Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.33Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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4.81Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.0Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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8.16Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.24Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.02Boston University2.020.0%1st Place
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12.72Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
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11.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.41Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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8.6Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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13.42University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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12.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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16.88North Carolina State University-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Rasmussen | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Weed | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 18.2% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wiley Rogers | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Robert Gruskos | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 17.2% | 4.9% |
| Luke Welker | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 2.7% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Ian Moran | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 22.7% | 8.4% |
| Meredith Julian | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 19.5% | 5.7% |
| Zachary Brown | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 9.0% | 74.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.