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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.07+5.20vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.50+6.32vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.83+4.05vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.43+0.76vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.45+3.30vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.11+7.39vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.02+3.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+0.25vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36-0.41vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+2.90vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.03-0.80vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.65-4.16vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.47-4.88vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-3.37vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.50-6.94vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.36-7.28vs Predicted
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17Clemson University1.36-4.31vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University-0.66-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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8.32Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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4.76Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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8.3Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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13.39University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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10.08Boston University2.020.0%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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12.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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10.2University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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7.84Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.12Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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8.06Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.72Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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12.69Clemson University1.360.0%1st Place
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16.9North Carolina State University-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiley Rogers | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Weed | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 17.3% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 21.7% | 9.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Julian | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 17.3% | 18.5% | 6.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Ian Moran | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Luke Welker | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Robert Gruskos | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 4.5% |
| Zachary Brown | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 9.0% | 75.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.