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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.50+7.31vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+2.95vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.83+4.10vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.03+5.93vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.02+4.99vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.47+2.33vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+1.31vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36+0.65vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.11+4.26vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.07-3.81vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.45-2.46vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-0.68vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.36-4.48vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76-3.29vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.65-7.53vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University-0.35+0.66vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.50-8.69vs Predicted
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18Clemson University0.67-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.31Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.95Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.1Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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9.99Boston University2.020.0%1st Place
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8.33Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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13.26University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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6.19Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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8.54Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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8.52Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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10.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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7.47Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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16.66North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
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8.31Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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14.45Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Weed | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.4% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 9.0% |
| Wiley Rogers | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Welker | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Lulu Russell | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Ian Moran | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Newberry | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 15.6% | 64.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Carrie Marshall | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 28.1% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.