← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont1.06+1.79vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University0.50+1.97vs Predicted
-
3Middlebury College0.03+1.79vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03+0.89vs Predicted
-
5Boston University0.56-1.51vs Predicted
-
6Bentley University-1.10+1.20vs Predicted
-
7Bates College-0.67-0.41vs Predicted
-
8McGill University-0.36-2.58vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont-0.40-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.79University of Vermont1.0629.0%1st Place
-
3.97Northeastern University0.5014.6%1st Place
-
4.79Middlebury College0.039.6%1st Place
-
4.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.039.9%1st Place
-
3.49Boston University0.5618.2%1st Place
-
7.2Bentley University-1.102.8%1st Place
-
6.59Bates College-0.673.4%1st Place
-
5.42McGill University-0.367.7%1st Place
-
5.85University of Vermont-0.404.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Burt | 29.0% | 22.1% | 19.1% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Carter Anderson | 14.6% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Walter Chiles | 9.6% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 4.8% |
| Luke Kenahan | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 5.3% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 18.2% | 18.7% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 19.2% | 41.6% |
| Amanda Yolles | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 20.6% | 25.2% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 8.6% |
| William Gear | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.