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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.36+7.81vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+9.34vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+1.97vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.07+1.93vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.47+3.24vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+2.39vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.50+1.11vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.65-0.52vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.03+0.97vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.83-2.87vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+0.03vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.11+1.61vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.45-4.80vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.50-6.14vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.36-6.35vs Predicted
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16Clemson University0.67-1.39vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.02-6.83vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University-0.35-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.81Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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4.97Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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5.93Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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8.24Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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8.11Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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7.13Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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11.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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13.61University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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8.2Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.86Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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14.61Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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10.17Boston University2.020.0%1st Place
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16.5North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Lulu Russell | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 2.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.4% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wiley Rogers | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Tucker Weed | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Ian Moran | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Luke Welker | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 22.7% | 10.2% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Carrie Marshall | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 15.6% | 26.6% | 18.7% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Victoria Newberry | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 14.3% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.