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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.07+4.69vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.45+5.94vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+7.44vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.65+3.36vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44+2.89vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.50+2.00vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.43-2.35vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.02+1.44vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.36-0.44vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.83-3.44vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.67+2.75vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.50-4.21vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.03-3.25vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.47-5.95vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.36-6.67vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University-0.66+0.11vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.11-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.94Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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8.0Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.65Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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9.44Boston University2.020.0%1st Place
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8.56Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.56Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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13.75Clemson University0.670.0%1st Place
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7.79Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.75University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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8.05Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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8.33University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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16.11North Carolina State University-0.660.0%1st Place
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12.69University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiley Rogers | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Luke Welker | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 1.6% |
| Ian Moran | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tucker Weed | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 16.0% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Carrie Marshall | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 33.2% | 15.6% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Brown | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 13.7% | 71.5% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 20.8% | 20.2% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.