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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.90vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+6.76vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.43+1.16vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.20+0.82vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook1.41+1.99vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.44+0.88vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.00+1.06vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.80+0.74vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-0.06vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.06-1.92vs Predicted
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11Villanova University0.91-2.54vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-0.02vs Predicted
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13Princeton University2.35-8.43vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36+0.47vs Predicted
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15Columbia University-0.64-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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4.16Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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4.82Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.99SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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6.88SUNY Maritime College1.440.1%1st Place
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8.06Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.74Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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8.94Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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8.08Webb Institute1.060.0%1st Place
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8.46Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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11.98Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.57Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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14.47Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
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12.18Columbia University-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 29.1% | 25.1% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Phillip Schofield | 14.3% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 11.1% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Molesky | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| William Sunkler | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 0.3% |
| Townsend Morey | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Owen Ward | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Manney | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 22.0% | 29.8% | 7.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 13.2% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 80.0% |
| Mateo Navarro Goldaraz | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 19.0% | 36.4% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.