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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+3.72vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+2.19vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+5.75vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35+0.43vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook1.41+1.98vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.06-3.08vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.00+1.05vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.80+0.75vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41+2.78vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.44-3.08vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-2.01vs Predicted
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12Villanova University0.91-3.38vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.06-4.82vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.64-1.71vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.19Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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4.43Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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6.98SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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2.92SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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8.05Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.75Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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11.78Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.92SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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8.99Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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8.62Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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8.18Webb Institute1.060.0%1st Place
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12.29Columbia University-0.640.0%1st Place
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14.43Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 12.4% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Schofield | 14.1% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Connor Mraz | 15.1% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 26.6% | 24.5% | 17.9% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| William Sunkler | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Manney | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 22.3% | 27.8% | 6.7% |
| Aidan Molesky | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Townsend Morey | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Owen Ward | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Mateo Navarro Goldaraz | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 17.1% | 37.5% | 10.9% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 79.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.