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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+3.71vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook1.41+4.84vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.43+1.14vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35+0.39vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.06-2.02vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.06+2.00vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.00+1.02vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+0.88vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.80-0.35vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76-1.12vs Predicted
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11Villanova University0.91-2.62vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.44-4.96vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-1.19vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-1.14-1.03vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.84SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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4.14Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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4.39Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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2.98SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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8.0Webb Institute1.060.0%1st Place
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8.02Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.88Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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8.65Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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8.38Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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7.04SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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11.81Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
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12.97Columbia University-1.140.0%1st Place
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14.32Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 12.4% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Schofield | 15.3% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 14.5% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 27.4% | 23.2% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Townsend Morey | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| William Sunkler | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Modin | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Owen Ward | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Aidan Molesky | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Manney | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 12.3% | 27.2% | 24.6% | 6.6% |
| Emily Ringrose | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 15.8% | 41.6% | 19.0% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 5.6% | 14.8% | 72.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.