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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+3.70vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.82vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.43+1.20vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.80+4.73vs Predicted
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5Villanova University0.91+3.44vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+3.03vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.00+1.13vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook1.41-1.00vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.06-1.09vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.44-3.01vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76-2.14vs Predicted
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12Princeton University2.35-7.37vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-1.11vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.64-1.75vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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2.82SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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4.2Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.73Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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8.44Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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9.03Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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8.13Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.0SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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7.91Webb Institute1.060.0%1st Place
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6.99SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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4.63Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.89Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
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12.25Columbia University-0.640.0%1st Place
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14.41Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 13.6% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 30.7% | 23.5% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Schofield | 14.7% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Owen Ward | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Townsend Morey | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Molesky | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Connor Mraz | 11.3% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Manney | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 22.8% | 30.0% | 7.5% |
| Mateo Navarro Goldaraz | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 18.6% | 35.4% | 11.1% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 78.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.