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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.06+1.87vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03+2.92vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.56+0.57vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.50-0.02vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.03-0.24vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.67+0.55vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.40-1.16vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.36-2.59vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-1.10-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87University of Vermont1.0627.6%1st Place
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4.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.039.1%1st Place
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3.57Boston University0.5619.0%1st Place
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3.98Northeastern University0.5014.5%1st Place
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4.76Middlebury College0.039.4%1st Place
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6.55Bates College-0.674.6%1st Place
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5.84University of Vermont-0.405.7%1st Place
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5.41McGill University-0.367.1%1st Place
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7.1Bentley University-1.103.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ethan Burt | 27.6% | 22.2% | 18.7% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Luke Kenahan | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 5.5% |
Gavin Monaghan | 19.0% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
Carter Anderson | 14.5% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
Walter Chiles | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
Amanda Yolles | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 20.9% | 26.4% |
William Gear | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 13.5% |
Mikhail Lavrenov | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 8.8% |
Wilfred Hynes | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 18.0% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.