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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+3.18vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.87vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook1.41+3.90vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+4.82vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.80+3.77vs Predicted
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6Villanova University0.91+2.47vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.44-0.18vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.00+0.20vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.20-4.28vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-0.92vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41+0.80vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.06-3.84vs Predicted
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13Princeton University2.35-8.45vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.64-1.78vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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2.87SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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6.9SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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8.77Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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8.47Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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6.82SUNY Maritime College1.440.1%1st Place
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8.2Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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4.72Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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9.08Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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11.8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
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8.16Webb Institute1.060.0%1st Place
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4.55Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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12.22Columbia University-0.640.0%1st Place
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14.41Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Schofield | 15.6% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 29.3% | 21.9% | 17.7% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Modin | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| William Sunkler | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Owen Ward | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Molesky | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 10.8% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Manney | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 20.3% | 28.7% | 9.2% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Connor Mraz | 12.9% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Navarro Goldaraz | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 18.8% | 36.2% | 10.4% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 10.8% | 77.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.