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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.89vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+2.03vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.20+1.64vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.06+3.78vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.00+2.99vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.80+2.60vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook1.41-0.19vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41+3.63vs Predicted
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9Princeton University2.35-4.70vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.06-2.11vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-2.18vs Predicted
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12Villanova University0.91-3.53vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76-4.14vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-1.14-1.05vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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4.03Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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4.64Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.78Webb Institute1.060.0%1st Place
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7.99Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.6Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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6.81SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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11.63Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.3Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.89SUNY Maritime College1.060.0%1st Place
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8.82Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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8.47Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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12.95Columbia University-1.140.0%1st Place
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14.34Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 30.2% | 23.1% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Schofield | 16.5% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 11.7% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| William Sunkler | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 7.2% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Manney | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 24.2% | 24.3% | 6.6% |
| Connor Mraz | 13.2% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Neuman | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Townsend Morey | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Owen Ward | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Modin | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Emily Ringrose | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 43.0% | 18.5% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 14.7% | 72.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.