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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.88vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+2.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+5.64vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35+0.35vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.20-0.24vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.06+1.87vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.00+0.93vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.06-0.13vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook1.41-2.24vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-1.13vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41+0.64vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.80-3.22vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-1.14+0.07vs Predicted
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14Villanova University0.91-5.73vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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4.01Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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4.35Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.76Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.87Webb Institute1.060.0%1st Place
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7.93Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.87SUNY Maritime College1.060.0%1st Place
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6.76SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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8.87Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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11.64Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
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8.78Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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13.07Columbia University-1.140.0%1st Place
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8.27Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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14.3Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 29.9% | 22.7% | 17.7% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Schofield | 15.5% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Modin | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Connor Mraz | 14.0% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 13.5% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Christian Neuman | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Manney | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 13.8% | 25.5% | 21.1% | 7.9% |
| William Sunkler | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Emily Ringrose | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 14.4% | 44.1% | 20.1% |
| Owen Ward | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 17.7% | 69.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.