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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.35+3.29vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.00+5.88vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.06+4.80vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook1.41+2.85vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.20-0.25vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.06+1.88vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.06-4.10vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.43-3.82vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-0.11vs Predicted
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10Villanova University0.91-1.55vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.80-2.34vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76-3.02vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-0.64-0.67vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-2.25vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.88Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.8Webb Institute1.060.0%1st Place
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6.85SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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4.75Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.88SUNY Maritime College1.060.0%1st Place
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2.9SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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4.18Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.89Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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8.45Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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8.66Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
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12.33Columbia University-0.640.0%1st Place
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11.75Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
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14.4Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 14.9% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 12.6% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Neuman | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 28.5% | 23.2% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Schofield | 15.0% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Owen Ward | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| William Sunkler | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Patrick Modin | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Navarro Goldaraz | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 9.1% | 17.9% | 37.2% | 12.1% |
| Lauren Manney | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 22.7% | 27.4% | 7.2% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 11.1% | 77.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.