← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.20+3.66vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University2.35+2.19vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.43+1.13vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University1.00+4.01vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College3.06-2.05vs Predicted
-
6Webb Institute1.06+1.97vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College1.06+0.86vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Stony Brook1.41-1.10vs Predicted
-
9Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-0.17vs Predicted
-
10Villanova University0.91-1.58vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76-2.23vs Predicted
-
12Washington College0.80-3.14vs Predicted
-
13Columbia University-0.64-0.70vs Predicted
-
14Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36+0.45vs Predicted
-
15Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.66Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
-
4.19Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
-
4.13Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
-
8.01Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
-
2.95SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
-
7.97Webb Institute1.060.0%1st Place
-
7.86SUNY Maritime College1.060.0%1st Place
-
6.9SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
-
8.83Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
-
8.42Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
-
8.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.0%1st Place
-
8.86Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
-
12.3Columbia University-0.640.0%1st Place
-
14.45Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
-
11.7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 13.4% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 15.6% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Schofield | 15.5% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 27.8% | 23.2% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Christian Neuman | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Owen Ward | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Modin | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| William Sunkler | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Mateo Navarro Goldaraz | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 18.2% | 36.2% | 11.3% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 11.4% | 78.4% |
| Lauren Manney | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 21.8% | 28.1% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.