Race 12A

nym-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Benton Amthor 29.8% 23.5% 15.7% 11.4% 8.7% 5.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Phillip Schofield 15.7% 16.9% 15.2% 14.7% 11.6% 10.3% 5.5% 4.7% 2.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Brooke Shachoy 11.3% 13.4% 14.0% 14.3% 11.1% 10.7% 9.7% 6.3% 4.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Nick Chisari 3.1% 4.0% 5.4% 6.0% 8.6% 7.4% 9.7% 10.5% 10.0% 12.2% 8.6% 9.0% 4.8% 0.7%
Caroline Sandoval 3.0% 3.5% 6.3% 4.6% 7.2% 8.9% 7.0% 11.6% 9.9% 9.4% 12.0% 10.3% 5.8% 0.5%
Connor Mraz 13.5% 13.4% 15.1% 13.9% 12.5% 10.1% 8.6% 4.3% 5.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 6.7% 7.2% 7.7% 7.3% 10.8% 9.1% 10.6% 11.0% 9.9% 8.1% 6.5% 4.0% 1.0% 0.1%
William Sunkler 3.3% 3.1% 5.1% 5.3% 5.7% 5.9% 8.7% 8.2% 9.5% 11.7% 11.9% 11.8% 8.7% 1.1%
Connor Murphy 3.0% 2.6% 2.9% 3.5% 5.5% 6.4% 7.0% 9.6% 9.8% 13.1% 13.0% 13.7% 8.8% 1.1%
Townsend Morey 2.5% 3.2% 2.4% 4.7% 4.6% 7.0% 8.9% 8.4% 10.4% 9.1% 13.4% 15.4% 8.9% 1.1%
Lauren Manney 0.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.4% 1.1% 2.3% 2.8% 2.5% 5.2% 6.8% 8.7% 13.7% 41.5% 10.9%
Christian Neuman 3.5% 3.4% 5.2% 7.0% 6.5% 8.7% 9.4% 10.7% 10.1% 10.7% 10.3% 8.7% 5.2% 0.6%
Owen Ward 4.0% 4.2% 3.7% 5.8% 5.8% 7.5% 8.9% 10.2% 11.0% 10.8% 11.5% 10.4% 5.6% 0.6%
Ethan Hall1 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 0.3% 1.1% 1.2% 2.3% 9.4% 83.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.