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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Benton Amthor 31.3% 23.7% 16.3% 11.2% 9.0% 4.5% 1.6% 1.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brooke Shachoy 13.8% 15.4% 14.4% 12.2% 13.7% 9.1% 8.7% 5.1% 3.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Phillip Schofield 15.0% 16.9% 17.0% 13.4% 12.8% 10.4% 6.8% 3.8% 2.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Murphy 2.3% 3.4% 3.7% 5.4% 5.8% 7.8% 8.8% 10.2% 10.2% 12.5% 11.6% 9.9% 6.0% 2.0% 0.4%
Caroline Sandoval 4.1% 4.5% 6.0% 5.7% 7.2% 8.7% 8.8% 11.0% 12.2% 10.8% 10.0% 7.1% 2.6% 1.3% 0.0%
Christian Neuman 3.1% 4.6% 5.1% 6.2% 7.2% 9.8% 10.5% 12.5% 11.0% 10.9% 9.7% 6.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Douglas Cochran 1.3% 0.7% 1.2% 2.1% 1.4% 1.5% 3.3% 4.0% 5.2% 5.6% 8.4% 18.1% 22.6% 18.0% 6.6%
Jeremy McCauley 5.6% 5.9% 7.5% 10.0% 8.1% 10.4% 12.3% 12.1% 10.0% 8.0% 5.9% 2.8% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 14.3% 14.4% 16.6% 14.9% 11.9% 11.4% 7.3% 4.1% 2.7% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Townsend Morey 2.6% 3.6% 2.9% 4.5% 5.6% 7.2% 9.5% 9.8% 12.2% 10.9% 11.6% 10.6% 6.3% 2.6% 0.1%
William Sunkler 2.9% 3.2% 4.0% 6.2% 6.1% 7.8% 9.8% 9.4% 10.9% 11.1% 11.2% 9.4% 5.7% 2.0% 0.3%
Owen Ward 3.0% 2.5% 3.4% 6.2% 7.8% 8.4% 8.5% 10.1% 11.9% 13.6% 11.2% 8.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Alexander Resio 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 1.3% 2.1% 1.8% 2.0% 3.7% 4.1% 4.6% 9.3% 11.4% 24.6% 24.7% 8.8%
Emily Ringrose 0.3% 0.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 2.8% 2.6% 4.7% 6.8% 10.4% 19.0% 31.5% 16.9%
Ethan Hall1 0.1% 0.0% 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 1.2% 2.3% 4.7% 6.7% 15.5% 66.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.