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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+3.48vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.74vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.71+5.26vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.43-0.04vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook1.41+1.53vs Predicted
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6Princeton University2.35-1.84vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.80+1.08vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.00-0.42vs Predicted
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9Villanova University0.91-1.15vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-1.54vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.06-3.50vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.71-0.04vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.58-1.30vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-1.14-1.41vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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2.74SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.710.0%1st Place
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3.96Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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6.53SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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4.16Princeton University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.08Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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7.58Fordham University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.85Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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8.46Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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7.5SUNY Maritime College1.060.0%1st Place
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11.96Webb Institute-0.710.0%1st Place
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11.7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.580.0%1st Place
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12.59Columbia University-1.140.0%1st Place
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14.16Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 12.7% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 30.9% | 22.8% | 19.1% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Murphy | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Phillip Schofield | 16.0% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 12.2% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Owen Ward | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Christian Neuman | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Resio | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 24.6% | 23.8% | 7.6% |
| Douglas Cochran | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 15.2% | 24.1% | 20.8% | 7.3% |
| Emily Ringrose | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 12.2% | 19.6% | 30.3% | 16.7% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 15.6% | 67.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.