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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.78vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+1.90vs Predicted
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3Villanova University0.91+4.81vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35+0.17vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-0.71+6.87vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.20-1.48vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.00+0.61vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook1.41-1.43vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-0.56vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.71-1.45vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.06-3.48vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.80-3.57vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-0.58-1.19vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36+0.30vs Predicted
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15Columbia University-0.64-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78SUNY Maritime College3.060.3%1st Place
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3.9Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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7.81Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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4.17Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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11.87Webb Institute-0.710.0%1st Place
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4.52Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.61Fordham University1.000.1%1st Place
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6.57SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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8.44Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.710.0%1st Place
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7.52SUNY Maritime College1.060.0%1st Place
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8.43Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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11.81Rochester Institute of Technology-0.580.0%1st Place
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14.3Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
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11.72Columbia University-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 30.1% | 23.9% | 17.8% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phillip Schofield | 15.9% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Connor Mraz | 16.0% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Resio | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 19.5% | 25.7% | 10.6% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 11.3% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sandoval | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Connor Murphy | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Christian Neuman | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| William Sunkler | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Douglas Cochran | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 14.7% | 21.4% | 24.7% | 8.1% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 13.2% | 72.4% |
| Mateo Navarro Goldaraz | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 19.3% | 26.2% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.