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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.03+3.82vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont-0.40+3.75vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.50+0.94vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.06-1.15vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-0.11vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.56-2.53vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.67-0.39vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.36-2.53vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-1.10-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Middlebury College0.039.2%1st Place
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5.75University of Vermont-0.406.7%1st Place
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3.94Northeastern University0.5014.9%1st Place
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2.85University of Vermont1.0627.8%1st Place
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4.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.038.4%1st Place
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3.47Boston University0.5618.8%1st Place
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6.61Bates College-0.674.5%1st Place
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5.47McGill University-0.366.8%1st Place
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7.21Bentley University-1.102.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Walter Chiles | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
William Gear | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 13.0% |
Carter Anderson | 14.9% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
Ethan Burt | 27.8% | 21.8% | 19.6% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Luke Kenahan | 8.4% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 5.5% |
Gavin Monaghan | 18.8% | 19.5% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
Amanda Yolles | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 21.6% | 25.6% |
Mikhail Lavrenov | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 8.9% |
Wilfred Hynes | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 19.8% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.