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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.69+3.56vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+1.05vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.45+2.17vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.57+0.89vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.11-1.17vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.88-1.71vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.75-0.41vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+0.17vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17+1.07vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.05-2.21vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-3.24vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.74-2.79vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47-2.48vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute-2.57-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56SUNY Maritime College1.690.1%1st Place
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3.05Cornell University2.430.3%1st Place
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5.17Cornell University1.450.1%1st Place
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4.89Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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3.83Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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4.29SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
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6.59Princeton University0.750.1%1st Place
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9.17Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.07Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
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8.79Columbia University-0.050.0%1st Place
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8.76SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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10.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
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11.52Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.0%1st Place
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13.09Webb Institute-2.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Kahler | 11.7% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 27.0% | 19.9% | 18.4% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tom O'Shea | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 15.3% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cormac Murphy | 13.6% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 2.1% |
| Elliot Tindall | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 23.6% | 22.2% | 10.3% |
| Sean Lee | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Tanner Comer | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 4.9% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 30.4% | 16.1% |
| Elliot Ocheltree | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 16.3% | 64.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.