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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.45+4.06vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+1.04vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.11+0.68vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.57+0.86vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.69-1.35vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.88-2.79vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.75-1.50vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17+1.88vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.26vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-1.78vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.74-1.86vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-0.05-4.41vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47-2.60vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute-2.57-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Cornell University1.450.1%1st Place
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3.04Cornell University2.430.3%1st Place
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3.68Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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4.86Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.65SUNY Maritime College1.690.1%1st Place
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4.21SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
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6.5Princeton University0.750.1%1st Place
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10.88Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
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9.74SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.22Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
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8.59Columbia University-0.050.0%1st Place
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11.4Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.0%1st Place
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13.02Webb Institute-2.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom O'Shea | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 26.3% | 21.2% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 18.9% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 9.3% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cormac Murphy | 14.6% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 20.9% | 12.3% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 19.2% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 3.3% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Tanner Comer | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 5.0% |
| Sean Lee | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 18.2% | 28.5% | 15.0% |
| Elliot Ocheltree | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 16.7% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.