← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University1.45+4.13vs Predicted
-
2Washington College2.11+1.66vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College1.88+0.17vs Predicted
-
5Villanova University1.57-0.07vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College1.69-1.29vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.43-3.76vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University0.75-1.41vs Predicted
-
9Columbia University-0.05-0.38vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.74+0.27vs Predicted
-
11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17+0.11vs Predicted
-
12Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-2.64vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-4.34vs Predicted
-
14Webb Institute-2.57-0.97vs Predicted
-
15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.13Cornell University1.450.1%1st Place
-
3.66Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
-
4.17SUNY Maritime College1.880.2%1st Place
-
4.93Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
-
4.71SUNY Maritime College1.690.1%1st Place
-
3.24Cornell University2.430.3%1st Place
-
6.59Princeton University0.750.1%1st Place
-
8.62Columbia University-0.050.0%1st Place
-
10.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
-
11.11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
-
9.36Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
-
8.66SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
-
13.03Webb Institute-2.570.0%1st Place
-
11.52Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom O'Shea | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 19.1% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cormac Murphy | 15.3% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 9.7% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 25.3% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lee | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Tanner Comer | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 19.1% | 14.2% | 5.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 20.9% | 23.4% | 11.2% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Elliot Ocheltree | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 15.7% | 64.1% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 19.2% | 28.2% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.