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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+2.67vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.69+1.43vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.45+1.07vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.88-0.82vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.57-1.06vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.75-0.19vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.43-4.97vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.74+0.99vs Predicted
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10-0.05-1.41vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17-0.01vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47-0.45vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-3.84vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-4.42vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute-2.57-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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4.43SUNY Maritime College1.690.1%1st Place
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5.07Cornell University1.450.1%1st Place
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4.18SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
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4.94Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.81Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
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3.03Cornell University2.430.3%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
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8.59-0.050.0%1st Place
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10.99Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
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11.55Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.0%1st Place
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9.16Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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9.58SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.01Webb Institute-2.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 17.8% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 12.0% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tom O'Shea | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cormac Murphy | 13.8% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 26.4% | 20.4% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Comer | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 5.1% |
| Sean Lee | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Elliot Tindall | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 24.2% | 10.0% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 18.5% | 27.6% | 17.3% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 2.1% |
| Elliot Ocheltree | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 15.3% | 62.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.