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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.57+3.84vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.11+1.62vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.69+1.59vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.43-0.85vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.88-0.70vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.45-1.77vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.75-1.40vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17+1.97vs Predicted
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10-0.05-1.26vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-2.26vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-2.62vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.74-2.76vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47-2.48vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute-2.57-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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3.62Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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4.59SUNY Maritime College1.690.1%1st Place
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3.15Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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4.3SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
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5.23Cornell University1.450.1%1st Place
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6.6Princeton University0.750.1%1st Place
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10.97Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
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8.74-0.050.0%1st Place
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8.74SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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9.38Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
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11.52Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.0%1st Place
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13.07Webb Institute-2.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Gillette | 10.6% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 18.3% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 24.5% | 21.3% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cormac Murphy | 12.1% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tom O'Shea | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Elliot Tindall | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 20.1% | 22.4% | 12.1% |
| Sean Lee | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 7.5% | 1.6% |
| Tanner Comer | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 4.7% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 19.8% | 30.0% | 15.5% |
| Elliot Ocheltree | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 15.6% | 63.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.