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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.69+3.58vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.57+2.77vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.88+1.16vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.11-0.19vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.43-1.81vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.45-0.75vs Predicted
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8-0.05+0.46vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.75-2.23vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17+1.08vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.03-2.23vs Predicted
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12Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-2.63vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.74-2.79vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-2.57-0.94vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58SUNY Maritime College1.690.1%1st Place
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4.77Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.16SUNY Maritime College1.880.2%1st Place
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3.81Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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3.19Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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5.25Cornell University1.450.1%1st Place
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8.46-0.050.0%1st Place
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6.77Princeton University0.750.1%1st Place
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11.08Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
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8.77SUNY Stony Brook-0.030.0%1st Place
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9.37Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
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13.06Webb Institute-2.570.0%1st Place
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11.51Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Kahler | 11.8% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 9.7% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cormac Murphy | 15.5% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 17.2% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 23.4% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tom O'Shea | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lee | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 21.4% | 23.3% | 11.2% |
| Jonathan Gorman | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 8.3% | 1.9% |
| Tanner Comer | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 4.8% |
| Elliot Ocheltree | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 14.5% | 65.9% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 19.0% | 29.7% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.