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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.06+1.83vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.36+3.47vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.50+0.93vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.67+2.54vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.40+0.84vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-1.12vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.03-2.24vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.56-4.42vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-1.10-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83University of Vermont1.0628.9%1st Place
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5.47McGill University-0.367.2%1st Place
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3.93Northeastern University0.5015.4%1st Place
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6.54Bates College-0.673.1%1st Place
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5.84University of Vermont-0.405.0%1st Place
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4.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.038.1%1st Place
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4.76Middlebury College0.0310.2%1st Place
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3.58Boston University0.5619.0%1st Place
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7.17Bentley University-1.103.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Burt | 28.9% | 22.4% | 17.9% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 10.1% |
| Carter Anderson | 15.4% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Amanda Yolles | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 22.8% | 23.7% |
| William Gear | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 12.6% |
| Luke Kenahan | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 4.8% |
| Walter Chiles | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 19.0% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 17.9% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.