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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.88+3.10vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+1.02vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.57+1.81vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.69-0.44vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.45-0.79vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.11-3.19vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17+2.77vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+0.09vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.26vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.05-2.35vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.74-1.86vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47-1.48vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-2.57-1.00vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.75-8.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
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3.02Cornell University2.430.3%1st Place
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4.81Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.56SUNY Maritime College1.690.1%1st Place
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5.21Cornell University1.450.1%1st Place
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3.81Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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10.77Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
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9.09Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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9.74SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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8.65Columbia University-0.050.0%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
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11.52Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.0%1st Place
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13.0Webb Institute-2.570.0%1st Place
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6.59Princeton University0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cormac Murphy | 15.0% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 25.8% | 21.2% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 11.2% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tom O'Shea | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 18.5% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 23.1% | 8.3% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 3.4% |
| Sean Lee | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Tanner Comer | 0.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 4.8% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 20.1% | 25.8% | 17.4% |
| Elliot Ocheltree | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 15.4% | 63.2% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.