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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+2.06vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.11+1.59vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.69+1.48vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.45+1.18vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.88-0.81vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.91+0.52vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.75-0.07vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32+1.85vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.05+0.08vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.50vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17+1.00vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.74-0.79vs Predicted
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13Villanova University-0.08-3.61vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-1.47-1.43vs Predicted
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15-0.95-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Cornell University2.430.3%1st Place
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3.59Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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4.48SUNY Maritime College1.690.1%1st Place
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5.18Cornell University1.450.1%1st Place
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4.19SUNY Maritime College1.880.1%1st Place
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6.52Fordham University0.910.0%1st Place
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6.93Princeton University0.750.1%1st Place
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9.85Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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9.08Columbia University-0.050.0%1st Place
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10.5SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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12.0Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
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9.39Villanova University-0.080.0%1st Place
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12.57Rochester Institute of Technology-1.470.0%1st Place
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11.44-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Moran | 27.5% | 21.5% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 18.3% | 20.4% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 12.8% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tom O'Shea | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cormac Murphy | 14.6% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Adipietro | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 3.8% |
| Sean Lee | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% |
| Elliot Tindall | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 18.3% | 24.1% |
| Tanner Comer | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 11.9% |
| Jack Murray | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Benjamin Knisely | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 18.4% | 32.8% |
| Jack Kirk | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.