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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.22+6.13vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.28+4.94vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.82+2.15vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+6.40vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.94+3.45vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.95+2.14vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.37+3.52vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.11-0.18vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.16-1.73vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.34+0.56vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.82-2.32vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.07-3.93vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.10-1.65vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-6.59vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.75-6.10vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.73-3.24vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.84-0.31vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.08-2.69vs Predicted
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19Fairfield University-2.49-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.132.220.1%1st Place
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6.94Yale University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.15Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Rhode Island1.940.0%1st Place
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8.14Connecticut College1.950.1%1st Place
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10.52Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
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7.82University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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7.27Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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10.56Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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8.68Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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11.35Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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8.9Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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12.76McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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16.69Maine Maritime Academy-0.840.0%1st Place
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15.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
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18.46Fairfield University-2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Davies | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 14.8% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christos Karplus | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Schryver | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William O'Leary | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Reynolds | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Noah Ferrarotto | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 7.3% | 0.5% |
| John Egger | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 7.2% | 16.3% | 45.5% | 15.0% |
| David Perez | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 26.3% | 23.6% | 5.1% |
| Jillian Casey | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 3.7% | 13.2% | 78.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.